A the 2012 electoral projection assumes two things: (1) the republicans will perform worse than their 2000 and 2004 national average (493), and (2) the democrats will perform better than 2000 and 2004 national average (484. But while she may not be on the brink of an electoral college win the size of barack obama’s in 2008 or even 2012, her position as the clear frontrunner in this race endures. 2012 electoral map: poll version the map on this page displays the electoral forecast based on 2012 state-level polling where no polling or only limited, months-old polling is available, the spreads may include a weighting based on 2008 actual results. The map moves toward donald trump and the states solidly or leaning toward hillary clinton dip below 270 electoral votes, although she still maintains the advantage. Race tightens in projected us electoral college vote: reuters/ipsos out of every 10 likely voters wouldn’t support obama or republican challenger mitt romney at a similar point in the 2012.
The path to 270 is tougher for trump, who is projected to be able to count on 144 electoral college votes in 18 solidly republican states and 46 in right-leaning states like georgia, alaska, and. The 2012 united states presidential election in maine took place on november 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 general election in which all 50 states plus the district of columbia participated. Election projection cannot screen all advertisements appearing here therefore, i do not necessarily endorse the products and/or services shown. Live results for the 2012 presidential election between barack obama and mitt romney 270 electoral votes needed to win 2012 presidential election projections map archived here.
Re: census impact on 2012 electoral college map what will be interesting is this is the first time since the passed of the vra that a democratic justice department will be around to enforce the vra and for other map issues. Final 2012 electoral college predictions schlegdaddytv loading unsubscribe from schlegdaddytv nbc news: decision 2012 - election night - duration: 3:18. Given the survey data available on election day 2000, the gwpa projected a 272-266 electoral college vote advantage and victory for george w bush collectively, the projected averages identified the winner of the election correctly, and were within one electoral college vote of predicting the electoral college vote distribution correctly. Final media electoral college maps tomorrow is the day finally it will finally all be over below are the predictions for several outlets for what the electoral college will look like when all the states are called tomorrow night (click on any for the full size) politics usa – they have it pretty much mirroring the 2012 election.
Thanks to george w bush's 271-266 victory over al gore in the electoral college in 2000 despite losing the popular vote, more people understand the significance and unique role the electoral. The united states presidential election of 2012 was held on tuesday, november 6, 2012 it was the 57th quadrennial presidential election in which presidential electors, who will actually elect the president and the vice president of the united states on december 17, 2012, were chosen. Us presidential election 2012 electoral college projection, 11/5/2012 camilo arenivar presidential election 2012 highlights - projected state wins the electoral college explained. Mitt romney and president obama remain roughly tied in national polls, while state polls are suggestive of a lead for mr obama in the electoral college most people take this to mean that there is a fairly good chance of a split outcome between the electoral college and the popular vote, as we had.
The electoral college: the only thing that matters it’s a long way to november, but for the moment the gop is an underdog larry j sabato, kyle kondik, and geoffrey skelley march 31st, 2016 we live in a post-factual era. A number of political observers, including governing's louis jacobson, have updated their electoral college breakdown predictions here is a list of recent breakdowns over the past few days, a. Here's where the race stands, with the states ordered by the projected margin between the candidates — clinton’s strongest states are at the top, trump’s at the bottom — and sized by the number of electoral votes they will award. What's your forecast for the 2012 presidential election build your electoral map here make your own electoral map below barack obama electoral votes 270 to win mitt romney electoral votes california press reset to make your own click on a state to make your forecast share your map: permalink.
In this tightening race, trump’s electoral college map is still daunting: even if he runs the table in florida, north carolina, and ohio, he’s still short of 270 electoral votes indeed, give trump all of the 84 electoral votes in our tossup column, and he falls short of 270 (it gets him to 264. 2012 presidential election interactive map and history of the electoral college election 2012 find this pin and more on school by shilo parisian choose a state to learn more about how its citizen tend to vote in presidential elections. Note 1 - states in blue were won by barack obama in 2008 note 2 - states in red were won by john mccain in 2008.
The ten worst predictions of the 2012 election zack beauchamp nov 7, 2012, made two predictions before the election 440–98 in the electoral college and 55–45 in the popular vote. With 18 months to go until november 2012, there is exactly one use for a current projection of the 2012 electoral college results this is merely a baseline from which we can judge more reliable.
Indeed, clinton does not have a meaningful advantage in the electoral college, as president obama did in 2012 four years ago, obama defeated mitt romney by 39 percentage points. 2012 election prediction, predictions, election predictions this election will come down to the toss up states, said everyone living in a non-toss up state has spared many of us the pain of the constant barrage of attack adds. The electoral college calculator was the map center’s first module, and it contains the electoral college results of all presidential elections since 1964 users can view the results of all of those elections and make predictions of the 2012 election.